PN would have lost 32 seats if PH and BN partnered in GE15

LIZA MOKHTAR
LIZA MOKHTAR
09 Dec 2022 05:20pm
Photo for Illustrative purposes.
Photo for Illustrative purposes.
SHAH ALAM - The 15th General Election (GE15) has finally closed its curtain following the conclusion of the Padang Serai's Wednesday poll, where Perikatan Nasional (PN) continues to make waves in the north.

PN's victory in Padang Serai inadvertently meant that Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin -- the de facto opposition leader following the formation of Pakatan Harapan (PH)-Barisan Nasional (BN) unity government -- now has the backing of 74 parliamentarians in the Dewan Rakyat.

Based on Sinar Premium's observation had PH and BN entered GE15 as partners, the two coalition would have been able to seize an additional 32 seats that were won by PN.

In fact, a PH-BN coalition would have fully swept all parliamentary seats in Penang, Pahang, Selangor, Melaka and Johor.

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In Penang, PH-BN would have been able to fully control the state and capture the three parliamentary constituencies Kepala Batas, Tasek Gelugor and Permatang Pauh that were won by PN on the Nov 19 poll.

It would have been the same in Pahang, PN would have lost all seven Parliamentary seats that it won namely Jerantut, Indera Mahkota, Kuantan, Maran, Kuala Krau, Temerloh and Rompin, had the PH-BN votes were combined.

Collectively, in Jerantut PH-BN would have collected a total of 35,053 votes compared to PN's 31,701 votes; while in Indera Mahkota PN with 41,692 votes would have lost to PH-BN's 49,823 votes.

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In Selangor, the six Parliamentary seats won by PN -- Sabak Bernam, Sungai Besar, Hulu Selangor, Tanjong Karang, Kapar and Kuala Langat -- would have been secured by PH-BN had the two parties consolidated their votes.

In Melaka, PN had won three of the six Parliamentary seats there, namely, Masjid Tanah, Tangga Batu and Jasin but these seats would have been lost if the votes were consolidated.

Johor would be in a similar scenario as well, where PH-BN could have even Pagoh, which was won by PN chairman Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin.

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Specifically, PH-BN would have had collected a total of 29,405 votes effectively besting Muhyiddin who won the seat with 24,986 votes.

In Perlis, a PH-BN would have secured a minor feat as the two coalition would have only been able to capture the Kangar parliamentary seat through a combined votes of 30,515 compared to PN's 24,562 votes.

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It is also the same in Kedah where PN won 14 of 15 Parliamentary seats in which the coalition have lost the Kulim-Bandar Baharu Parliament to PH-BN where the latter's combined votes would have stood at 35,280 votes over PN's 34,496.

In Perak, PN currently has 10 Parliamentary seats in the state, namely, Gerik, Larut, Parit Buntar, Bagan Serai, Bukit Gantang, Padang Rengas, Kuala Kangsar, Parit, Pasir Salak and Lumut.

However, the coalition would have lost a total of eight parliamentary seats had PH and BN put up a unified front.